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Mark Bogle
CHIEF EXECUTIVE |
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Evergreen has recorded
another year of solid operational performance with earnings (before abnormals)
increasing by 30% to $6.5m. This is a creditable result considering that
market conditions for unpruned sawlogs were disappointing for much of
the year.
Because of market
conditions, the company is harvesting its forests at less than the sustainable
level (see harvest profile graph). As a result, we have built up an inventory
of mature timber, and as at 30 June 2001, more than half of the appraised
value of Evergreens forest estate is represented by trees 20 years
or older. This year was one of consolidation as the company continued
its transition from its initial development phase to a more production
oriented focus. We remain committed to growing the company to capture
further economies of scale but not at the expense of shareholder value.
The companys low share price has constrained our opportunities for
growth through forest acquisition in the past 12 months.
Operations
Evergreen is a pure-play, resource owner with no downstream processing.
Its forests are free from long term log supply commitments. This means
the company has greater flexibility in terms of the nature and timing
of its harvesting activities. A total of 163,039m3 was harvested in the
2001/02 financial year compared with 141,458m3 in the previous year. Production
from Rototuna Forest, in Northland, contributed more than three quarters
of this total. In addition, the company began harvesting in its South
Auckland forests during the year. In order to maximize stumpage value,
the company has been trialling the latest in log optimisation technology
which involves using electronic callipers to measure logs at harvest.
Based on current price information, this technology allows log makers
to ensure the best log grades are realised from each tree felled. In addition,
exact harvest information is available daily (via the internet) to assist
in matching sales to future harvest plans. During the year, Evergreen
completed the salvage of approximately 200 hectares of wind damaged, mid
rotation forests on the West Coast of the South Island. This area was
damaged in a storm in May 2000. All of the companys forests are
insured against wind and fire damage of this nature.
Markets
Korea continues to be Evergreens most important export market for
logs. There has also been strong domestic demand for high-value pruned
logs. Pruned log prices remained firm, principally reflecting increased
North American demand for clearwood radiata lumber products from New Zealand.
Internationally, prices for unpruned sawlogs recovered off cyclical lows
during 2000 but fell again in early 2001. Whilst there has been some improvement
in recent months, volatile market conditions have created a difficult
environment for log trading and Evergreens marketing subsidiary,
Forestry New Zealand, incurred a small deficit for the 12 month period.
Evergreen increased its shareholding in Forestry New Zealand during the
year and that company is now a wholly owned subsidiary.
LAND AND FOREST
HOLDINGS
Net stocked area as
at 30 June 2001

| LAND
AND FOREST
HOLDINGS |
| AS
AT 30 JUNE 2001,IN HECTARES |
LEGAL
AREA
|
PLANTABLE
AREA
|
NET
STOCKED
AREA
|
| Owned
land |
|
|
|
| Northland |
7,257
|
6,158
|
6,158
|
| South
Auckland |
5,577
|
3,927
|
3,814
|
| East
Coast |
13,359
|
9,531
|
9,355
|
| South
Island |
254
|
208
|
158
|
| Total
owned |
26,447
|
19,824
|
19,484
|
| Forestry
rights |
|
|
|
| South
Island |
2,718
|
2,247
|
1,715
|
| Total
all properties |
29,165
|
22,071
|
21,200
|
Valuation
As in previous years, the company engaged Jaakko Pöyry Consulting
(Asia-Pacific) Limited (JPC) to independently assess the market
value of its forest assets as at 30 June 2001. Net of the area harvested,
and incorporating a small ($2.3m) South Island acquisition, Evergreens
forest value increased by $8.8 million to $157.4 million over this 12-month
period. JPC discounts projected future pre-tax cash flows by 9% real,
assuming a recovery to trend-line log prices by 2006 and zero real log
price growth thereafter. The net asset value matrix below tests sensitivity
across a range of discount rates and real price growth assumptions. Further
valuation information is presented on page 10. The latest valuation equates
to $0.85 per undiluted ordinary share, or $0.76 a fully diluted basis
(after allowing for the notional conversion of the companys 10-year,
zero coupon notes).
Nuhaka
Due to the fall in Nuhakas appraised value, Evergreen has written
off $1.46 million of its Nuhaka investment. While it is disappointing
report this drop in value, it does not have a material impact on Evergreen
as Nuhaka represents less than 5% of the companys assets. A significant
point of difference between Evergreen and Nuhaka is that Evergreens
forest estate is mainly pruned whereas Nuhakas estate is primarily
managed on an unpruned framing regime.
| NET
ASSET VALUE |
BASED ON APPRAISED MARKET VALUE |
2001
30/6
|
2000
30/6
|
| Book Value of
Equity ($m) |
114.4
|
104.4
|
| Add: Forests
(at valuation) ($m) |
157.4
|
148.6
|
| Less: Forests
(at cost) ($m) |
(151.7)
|
(140.0)
|
| Equity (at valuation)
($m) |
120.1
|
113.0
|
| Divide by: Issued
shares (million) |
140.7
|
131.4
|
| Net Asset Value
per share ($NZ) |
0.85
|
0.86
|
Fully Diluted
Net asset value per share ($NZ)
(assuming all convertible notes convert into shares)
|
0.76
|
0.75
|
NET
ASSET VALUE (undiluted)
As at 30 June 2001 Value of Evergreen’s ordinary shares with different
price growth and discount rate assumptions. |
DISCOUNT RATE (2) |
Real
price increase(1)
|
|
NIL%
|
ONE%
|
TWO%
|
| Eight
per cent |
1.00
|
1.17
|
1.36
|
| Nine
per cent |
0.85
|
0.99
|
1.15
|
| Ten
per cent |
0.72
|
0.84
|
0.98
|
1.
Per annum, over the ten-year period 2006 to 2016.
2.
Pre-tax, real. |
Environmental Profile
Carbon Sequestration
Increasing importance is being placed on the environmental benefits of
plantation forestry as a renewable, sustainable resource. The role plantations
play in the absorption of atmospheric carbon and climate control is another
positive dimension. Evergreen has 9,600 hectares of forests planted since
1990 that will qualify as carbon sinks under the Kyoto Protocol. A preliminary
assessment by JPC is that these Kyoto-compliant forests will
sequester up to 2,645 kilo-tonnes of CO2-e over the Protocols
first measurement period (2008 2012). In this years Annual
Report we have included an article by Dr Piers Maclaren, which discusses
climate change, forestry, and carbon sequestration (see pages 11-18).
Certification
Evergreens commitment to obtaining certification for its sustainable
forestry practices remains in place. Over the past year, the NZ Forest
Industry Council has been active in developing national standards for
plantation forestry that will link into the Forest Stewardship Council
(FSC) certification. FSC is one of the most highly respected certification
systems in the world and is supported by the World Wildlife Fund. As these
standards are finalised, Evergreen will commence the process to obtain
certification.
Wood Processing
Strategy Group
Late last year, the government established a Wood Processing Strategy
(WPS) Steering Group chaired by the Deputy Prime Minister, with the Forestry
Minister as vice-chair. WPS is a partnership involving the forest industry
plus both central and local government. Its aim is to significantly accelerate
development of the forest products industry in order to obtain optimum
value from the regional expansion in wood available for harvest. Several
problem areas have been identified and some are already being addressed.
For instance, it has been recognised that additional infrastructure (especially
road, rail and port facilities) in developing forestry regions such as
East Coast and Northland, is a prerequisite for wood processing development
and some positive progress has been made. Other key focus areas include
the Resource Management Act (RMA), Forest Certification, Trade Access,
and Climate Change policy. While the objectives of New Zealands
resource management legislation are commendable, some aspects of its implementation
are in need of review. Because the process is protracted, inconsistently
applied and imposes high costs on the forest industry, it represents a
barrier to new investment and regional development. In respect of climate
change policy, and the governments commitment to ratification of
the Kyoto Protocol, it is important the implementation phase does not
prejudice New Zealands international competitiveness. There is a
risk that meeting Protocol requirements may put New Zealands wood
processing industry at a cost disadvantage relative to developing countries
exempted from those requirements.
Summary
The longer-term outlook for sustainably managed plantation forestry remains
positive. The past overcutting of tropical rainforests throughout Asia
and elsewhere, along with the declining permissible cut in countries such
as India and China, will limit future supply from natural forests. Economic
development, which will drive per capita consumption, and population growth
will inevitably mean
greater demand for wood products. Positive steps are being taken to enhance
New Zealands competitive position as a supplier of forest products
from its sustainably managed plantations. Evergreen supports these initiatives.
Forestry is a sensible component of any well balanced investment portfolio.
At present there is an opportunity through Evergreen to invest at a substantial
discount to underlying asset value. In addition, by investing in plantation
forestry, shareholders are supporting an industry that has already contributed
positively to the environment and will continue to do so for generations
to come.

Mark S. Bogle
CHIEF EXECUTIVE
20 September 2001
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